As at October 31, 2014, the Russian Federation continues to build up its forces in the territory of the Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts. At that we increasingly receive reports that militants have BM-30 “Smerch” multiple rocket launchers (one of the identified places of deployment is the warehouse of the “Dominion” Trade House in Donetsk; it is located 84.5 km away from the headquarters of Ukrainian military in Kramatorsk), BM-27 “Uragan” multiple rocket launcher systems (deployed to Horlivka, former railway station “Promyvochna”, 48 km away from Ukrainian emplacements). Our observers also detected movement of S-300 (NATO reporting name is SA-10 Grumble) long range surface-to-air missile systems (one of the identified places of deployment is the warehouse of the “Dominion” Trade House in Donetsk). If those S-300 systems are of S-300PMU-1 modification (NATO reporting name is SA-20 Gargoyle), they greatly complicates application of tactical aviation very difficult in the entire crisis region. Continue reading
October, 30 may be the turning point in the slow conflict in the South-East of Ukraine. The ceasefire has allowed the terrorists to regroup their forces. Russian “military shops” resumed their work of providing combat equipment with increasing intensity. For the past two days alone, more than 300 vehicles were transferred from Russia to Ukraine. The main direction of movement goes via Antratsyt to Donetsk and towards Smila village and via Marynivka to Telmanove and Komsomolske. Transfer of military equipment was also noticed in the direction of Olenivka and Horlivka.
On the night from 16th to 17th of October near to Krasnyi Luch an LPR terrorist group was shelled by a partisan unit using the under-barrel grenade launcher with captured VOG-25 ammunition. The partisans shot about 20 rounds from the grenade launcher.
Women are making camouflage nets for armored personnel carriers in Dnepropetrovsk.
Teachers, business women, housewives are gathering on weekends to make protection for the army with their own hands. The nets which are about 5 meters wide and 11 meters long should correspond to the autumn landscape. Continue reading
Citizens of Odessa decided to help troopers of Southern Command of the Armed Forces of Ukraine to dig trenches around the city.
The call to come and help troopers appeared on Tuesday in “Grazhdanskiy Manifest” Facebook community. Southern Command of the Armed Forces of Ukraine notified us about the need to build defences at several important points of the Odessa region. We all are hoping for peace, but it does not mean that we should not go outside the city and build several kilometers of trenches under management of troopers, engineers and architects. Continue reading
Over the past few days we have got to know of at least 5 cases when negotiating groups of the local separatists came to emplacements of Ukrainian military in the Donetsk and Luhansk regions with additional requests under observation of truce. The local militants stated that they honored the agreements of the peace plan but as a result of that they had confrontations with Russian Cossacks and uniformed services (representatives of the Armed Forces, Main Intelligence Directorate of the General Staff, and Federal Security Service of the Russian Federation). Those representatives tried to force them to break the truce and perform provocative attacks. Because of this, the separatists asked Ukrainian military not to fire back and assured that “they will sort it out with the Don Cossacks, Chechens, as well as the feds who continue to provoke attacks”. Continue reading
On the back of the Minsk agreements, internecine clashes between militants get worse. Gangs that accept the peace agreements confront with the opponents objecting to the agreements accepted by the contact group of the Donetsk and Luhansk People’s Republics.
For example, as a result of the conflict, on the night from September 20 to September 21, onf of the groups of militants destroyed two cars with personnel of the other group with mortar fire. Continue reading
The Donetsk airport is still shelled with large calibre artillery and multiple launch rocket systems (MLRS). Some eyewitnesses even speak of a tank attack. However, Ukrainian forces continue to hold the airport.
On September 13, there was an attempt to transfer terrorist forces from Horlivka to Donetsk. The terrorists attempted to use the E50 highway. It is possible that the attempt was aimed at reinforcing the attack on the airport from the north. This attempt was suppressed in the area of Krasnyi Partizan. Continue reading
We present a further update to our list of units of Russian forces in Ukraine. This time we identified the 22nd Separate Brigade of Special Purpose Main Intelligence Department. This unit was identified through the social network page (vkontakte, or vk.com) of Dmitriy, one of the contract-troopers of the unit. Dmitriy was serving in the border guards forces until recently when he signed a contract with the 22nd Brigade of Special Forces.
For the whole morning of September 12, the Russian-terrorists forces conducted maneuvers in the Petrovskyi district of the City of Donetsk in preparation for an attack on the airport. After firing heavy caliber guns towards Krasnohorivka, one of the guns was disabled from return fire from Ukrainian forces. It is believed that the vehicle chassis of the artillery piece has been damaged.
The Kremlin style continues — one step forward, two steps back in observance of the requirements on the Minsk agreement. The Russian side is strenuously trying to disrupt the peace agreements while continuing the build-up and regrouping of its forces.
Among the Russian forces near the Ukrainian border there is a detachment from the 15th Motorized Rifle Brigade, a so-called “peacekeeper’s force”. The 15th Motorized Rifle Brigade is based near Samara. The Battalion or Company tactical unit from this Brigade was first deployed near the Kharkiv border, but then moved to the Kamensky District of the Rostov Oblast.
The Situation Around Donetsk
Either the DNR and LNR have not heard that about the planned ceasefire or they disrespect their political leaders. In any event they continue to fight for the Donetsk airport. Despite the silence of the Ukrainian heavy artillery, the Russian terrorists use mortars, rocket systems GRAD and self-propelled guns NONA in full swing. From the territory of the chemical factory one of systems GRAD is constantly shelling the Donetsk airport. Continue reading
The Ukrainian military forces have had to withdraw from Lutuhyne and leave the area south of Luhansk. Basically the move can be considered as the correct decospom, considering the threat that the town of Shchastya is facing currently. The same situation applies to the settlement of Pobeda located in Novoaidar district. We should remember that a withdrawal from Shchastya opens the way for Russian military forces to Starobilsk and northwards towards Kharkiv Oblast. It is possible that the Russian troops being moved towards the border, in the direction of Valuiky (in Russia), will penetrate into Ukrainian territory in the area of Kupyansk (Kharkiv Oblast). Such a course of events will allow the enemy to excuse themselves, as though military forces have come from the Luhansk area, and that this cannot therefore be considered as an open invasion from Russia. However that is no more than our guess. As for the possibility of the terrorists’ activity in the direction of Starobilsk, we warned about that earlier. Continue reading
Over the past 24 hours we observed movement of Russian military convoys on the Rostov-Taganrog highway and then towards the border with Ukraine. These are mainly tilted “Ural” trucks and military “KamAZ” trucks, including communications vehicles and vehicles for electronic warfare, as well as armored vehicles. Convoys move around Taganrog along the road near Nikolaevka village (Russia). There is an airfield in that area and we observed increased activity of the operations of the military transport aviation. License plates on the vehicles we have observed have the index of “50”, which indicates that they belong to the Western Military District of the Armed Forces of the Russian Federation. We can assume that the convoys are the security of the Battalion Tactical Groups participating in the offensive in the direction of Mariupol. Continue reading