Mind and analytics: How much Russian activity does it take before the OSCE notice?

I address my congratulations to OSCE mission observers in Ukraine for at last noticed Russian troop movement in the Donetsk area. I wonder how many Russian vehicles it took to make even the OSCE observers to notice them. Clearly it was many vehicles.

This is why after the DPR leader Zakharchenko decided to join the lie of his Kremlin chiefs it just became more senseless and stupid. By claiming that DPR provides regrouping of their troopers he put himself into a bad position. If his Kremlin bosses hide from him the real quantity of the forces they are going to transfer to the region  “trusted” to Zakharchenko? If not, let’s count everything that the cameras managed to capture.

Let us start from the 8th of November: 3 T-72B tanks with traces of the white dye on the rollers and almost erased marks H-2200, telling us that they were transported by railways of Russia, driven down Kuprina Street in Donetsk (according to You Tube video-service that I trust much more than Kremlin). Let us estimate 1200 litres of fuel, or 3 tons for all.

This very day on the approaches of Donetsk were noticed military column containing one “bagel” UAZ-452, one car on base of APC-80, 17 machines “Ural-4320” pulling 155 mm “MSTA-B” howitzers on the trailer, nine KamAZ-5350 machines (that Ukrainian army have no in service), Four “Urals” without trailers and two GAZ-66. In total we have more than 40 military vehicles. Kamaz fuel-tanks contain 410 litres of fuel. Telling other way, to feed only this part of the column 4 tons of fuel is needed. Urals will need more than 6 tons (21 vehicle 300 litres for each of them).

10 of November: One more tank column rolled through Donetsk, with 6 T72B tanks. Here we already can say about 7 tons of fuel for each, even if not to count the collector “folksvagen” of support. The next day – one more military column. It comprised 3 MV-21 on Ural-4320, 34  KamAzes 5530, 7 of them had D-30 howitzers on trailers, 2 additional Kamazs with “Uragan” shelling systems, one bus and 3 minibuses of support, one UAZ 469 and 4 full trucks (see picture).

Pic1 trucks

This seems to be about 48 of trucks in total and not less than 16 tons of fuel. Of course fuel data is just an approximate, but gives us an opportunity to see the depth of the RF military preparations in only one part of the Russian-Ukrainian front. For the last three days four videos (see pictures below) captured 9 tanks, 34  122-152 mm calibre howitzers , more than 90 military cars and 3 civil cars full of weaponry. We don’t know what was in the fourth truck, perhaps it is a “Cargo-200” transporter? Besides these, there was a column where Kamazs pulled just D-30 howitzers.

Where does the half-destroyed and not-working Donetsk and Luhansk regions found the means for a such kind of regrouping?

From where do the tanks originate that are not in service in Ukraine and having graphic marks from Russian rail services originate?

Pic2 Tanks

And what of the origins of the “Grads” dyed in the colour of sand?

Pic3 GRAD

How can there be columns of military vehicles models of Kamaz and Ural trucks that had never been in service of Ukrainian army? And where does the DPR get more than 300 tanks T64B and T72B from? I need to point that a small but economically developed country like Holland (Netherlands) in 2011 had less than 100 tanks in service.

Pic4 Column

Generally speaking, I think that anyone already got that there is no movements of separatists, just the movement of the Russian army. So the OSCE mission representatives have reasons to worry, not only about Ukraine’s sovereignty and integrity, but also about their own countries.

Material prepared by Al Gri

Acknowledgement of the author and source of the material is required.

Links on the subject on youtube:

Unit of 79th Rocket Artillery Brigade, Western Military District, among the group of Russian Invasion forces.

In our efforts to detect and identify the military units and weapons of the Rostov group of the Russian invasion forces we found evidence of the presence of a new, never before observed unit of rocket artillery of the 79th Rocket Artillery Brigade, military unit 53956, Western Military District, permanently based in Tver.

79_1

 

 

79_279_3Judging from the available information and photos, the unit of the rocket brigade was transferred to Rostov Region toward the end of September 2014. At this time, it’s stationed near Millerovo airfield (the main camp of the Rostov group of the invasion forces).

We have no data about the composition of the unit. We can only assume that it consists of one battalion of 300-mm multiple rocket launch systems «Smerch» (four launch vehicles). The personnel deployed to Rostov region is rotated periodically and consists of contract servicemen.

Brief note: 79th Guards Rocket Artillery Novozybkov Orders of Red Flag, Suvorov, and Alexander Nevskiy Brigade m/u 53956 of the Western Military District is based in Tver. It’s equipped with 12 300-mm MRL «Smerch» (9A52) and consists of 3 rocket artillery battalions (four launch vehicles each). As of 2013, the brigade commander was colonel M. Oskolkov (this is like magic, even the commander’s last name means “shrapnel”.)

More details and photos regarding this military unit is available here: http://jury-tver.livejournal.com/147820.html and http://jury-tver.livejournal.com/175208.html.

More on this subject:

Author: Irakly Komaxidze

Translated by Eugenia Zlamanuk

Edited by Max Alginin

 

The unit of the 7th Tank Brigade, Central Military District, among the invading forces in Eastern Ukraine

In the course of identification of Russian invasion forces and weapons, we found evidence of the presence of a unit of the 7th Tank Brigade, Central Military District, military unit 89547 (city of Chebarkul, Chelyabinsk region).

7-y-kamneski-raion-t-72-1024x687 sau

A unit from this brigade was previously observed in September. Troops were apparently rotated in October. At this time, a combined unit of T-72 tank crews (presumably, a company), artillery equipped with  2S3 “Akatsiya” (a battery), and motorised infantry (a company) belonging to the 7th Brigade is present in Kamensk district of Rostov region. Some of the personnel are contract soldiers that were given a refresher course for their specialties in the 473th district training centre in Elansk (Sverdlovsk region).

na-karte-1024x632 p-e

Many have noted that my recent articles largely refer to units from the northern regions of Russia. The reason is clear: the winter is coming. Apparently, Russian military command has decided to replace the southerners with Siberians and Northerners, who are better adapted and equipped for winter conditions. Here is a list of military units from the northern regions of the Russian Federation deployed towards the Ukrainian border:

– 61st Marine Brigade of the Northern Fleet from Murmansk region.
– 74th Motorized Brigade of the Central Military District from Kemerov region.

Units recorded earlier:
– 138th  Motorized Brigade of  the Western Military District from Leningrad region;
– 385th Artillery Brigade of  the Central Military District from Orenburg region;
– 35th  Motorized Brigade of  the Central Military District from Altai Krai;
– 32nd  Motorized Brigade of  the Central Military District  from Novosibirsk region;
– 37th (presumably) Motorized Brigade of  the Central Military District from Buryat Republic;
– 200th Motorized Rifle Brigade of the Northern Fleet from Murmansk region.

As well as troops from brigades of Main Intelligence Directorate (GRU) of the General Staff of the Armed Forces:

— Airborne Intelligence Group, 24th Separate Spetsnaz Brigade from Novosibirsk region

— 14th Separate Spetsnaz Brigade from Khabarovsk region

Short note: the 7th Independent Tank Brigade was formed on the basis of the former 34-th Motorized Rifle Division. The Brigade includes three tank battalions, a motorized infantry battalion, reconnaisance company, anti-aircraft and surface-to-air missile battalions, a combat support battalion, a self-propelled howitzer battalion, a multiple launcher rocket system battalion, a maintenance battalion, a sapper-engineer company, and other support units (more information here : http://cossac-awards.narod.ru/Sovrem_chasti_files/7_kaz_tank_brigada.html)

Recommended reading: https://burkonews.info/new-siberian-guests-border-ukraine-14th-brigade-special-forces-main-intelligence-department/

Author: Irakli Komakhidze