November 17, 2014 Weekly Summary by InformNapalm group

17kartaAt the end of last week a few significant changes happened, which in one way or another could affect the balance of the confrontation:

  1. According to the field reports, the Russian servicemen captured by Ukrainian security services (Evgeniy Tur and Alexander Bondaruk) provided the information about gradual reorganization within the militant groups, and about cleanup operations and «disappearances» of unwanted or uncontrollable individual militants or even their whole groups, conducted by the Russian armed forces, under the protection of the Russian special services. This “restructuring” has as its goal the creation of a unified army of Novorossiya, strictly controlled by the Russian security services. So far these activities have resulted in the worsening of the situation caused by periodic skirmishes among gangs, Cossack groups, DPR, and LPR groups. In such circumstances we foresee increased deployment of the regular Russian military, which will replace the poorly disciplined gangs in the Donbas.
  2. Over the past week, the guerrilla movement in the Donbas has become more active. Previously, we saw isolated attacks, but now you can see the tendency of increasing activity against the separatist and Russian forces by locals living in the occupied zone.

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General Summary as at November 1, 2014 by the InformNapalm Group

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As at October 31, 2014, the Russian Federation continues to build up its forces in the territory of the Donetsk and Luhansk Oblasts. At that we increasingly receive reports that militants have BM-30 “Smerch” multiple rocket launchers (one of the identified places of deployment is the warehouse of the “Dominion” Trade House in Donetsk; it is located 84.5 km away from the headquarters of Ukrainian military in Kramatorsk), BM-27 “Uragan” multiple rocket launcher systems (deployed to Horlivka, former railway station “Promyvochna”, 48 km away from Ukrainian emplacements). Our observers also detected movement of S-300 (NATO reporting name is SA-10 Grumble) long range surface-to-air missile systems (one of the identified places of deployment is the warehouse of the “Dominion” Trade House in Donetsk). If those S-300 systems are of S-300PMU-1 modification (NATO reporting name is SA-20 Gargoyle), they greatly complicates application of tactical aviation very difficult in the entire crisis region. Continue reading

Operational Summary for October 29 by the InformNapalm Team

October, 30 may be the turning point in the slow conflict in the South-East of Ukraine. The ceasefire has allowed the terrorists to regroup their forces. Russian “military shops” resumed their work of providing combat equipment with increasing intensity. For the past two days alone, more than 300 vehicles were transferred from Russia to Ukraine. The main direction of movement goes via Antratsyt to Donetsk and towards Smila village and via Marynivka to Telmanove and Komsomolske. Transfer of military equipment was also noticed in the direction of Olenivka and Horlivka.

Approximate front lines and potential directions of attack

Approximate front lines and potential directions of attack

 

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The War in Donbas: Operational Situation in the Donetsk Region as at September 24, 2014

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On the back of the Minsk agreements, internecine clashes between militants get worse. Gangs that accept the peace agreements confront with the opponents objecting to the agreements accepted by the contact group of the Donetsk and Luhansk People’s Republics.

For example, as a result of the conflict, on the night from September 20 to September 21, onf of the groups of militants destroyed two cars with personnel of the other group with mortar fire. Continue reading

The Security Service of Ukraine Detained an Organizer of Anti-Ukrainian Actions in Severodonetsk

The Security Service of Ukraine Counterintelligence detained a citizen of Ukraine, “K” (1996 YOB), in Severodonetsk (Luhansk region). The detainee disseminated calls over the Internet to commit acts of terrorism against the Government of Ukraine, servicemen of the Armed Forces of Ukraine and law enforcement officers. Continue reading

Terrorist War of the Russian Federation against Ukraine: Summary for September 12, 2014

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Military Operations

For the whole morning of September 12, the Russian-terrorists forces conducted maneuvers in the Petrovskyi district of the City of Donetsk in preparation for an attack on the airport. After firing heavy caliber guns towards Krasnohorivka, one of the guns was disabled from return fire from Ukrainian forces. It is believed that the vehicle chassis of the artillery piece has been damaged.

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Terrorist War of the Russian Federation against Ukraine: Summary for the 11th September 2014

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The Kremlin style continues — one step forward, two steps back in observance of the requirements on the Minsk agreement. The Russian side is strenuously trying to disrupt the peace agreements while continuing the build-up and regrouping of its forces.

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Terrorist War of the Russian Federation against Ukraine: Summary for the 7th September 2014

Карта07The third day of the ‘ceasefire’

The Situation Around Donetsk

Either the DNR and LNR have not heard that about the planned ceasefire or they disrespect their political leaders. In any event they continue to fight for the Donetsk airport. Despite the silence of the Ukrainian heavy artillery, the Russian terrorists use mortars, rocket systems GRAD and self-propelled guns NONA in full swing. From the territory of the chemical factory one of systems GRAD is constantly shelling the Donetsk airport. Continue reading

Terrorist War of the Russian Federation against Ukraine Summary for the 4th September 2014

040914The Luhansk Conflict Zone

The Ukrainian military forces have had to withdraw from Lutuhyne and leave the area south of Luhansk. Basically the move can be considered as the correct decospom, considering the threat that the town of Shchastya is facing currently. The same situation applies to the settlement of Pobeda located in Novoaidar district. We should remember that a withdrawal from Shchastya opens the way for Russian military forces to Starobilsk and northwards towards Kharkiv Oblast. It is possible that the Russian troops being moved towards the border, in the direction of Valuiky (in Russia), will penetrate into Ukrainian territory in the area of Kupyansk (Kharkiv Oblast). Such a course of events will allow the enemy to excuse themselves, as though military forces have come from the Luhansk area, and that this cannot therefore be considered as an open invasion from Russia. However that is no more than our guess. As for the possibility of the terrorists’ activity in the direction of Starobilsk, we warned about that earlier. Continue reading

Terrorist War of the Russian Federation against Ukraine, Eastern Front: Summary for September 1, 2014

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Preface

Due to objective factors we have had to take a break in posting information and analytical data regarding the course of “Anti-terrorist operation in Donbas”. Starting from August 21 we decided to call a spade a spade, namely that this is a TERRORIST WAR OF THE RUSSIAN FEDERATION AGAINST UKRAINE. Continue reading

ATO Update: Operational Situation as at August 26, 2014, 07:00am

Information

According to the ATO Press Center, for the past day the enemy lost 247 personnel, 2 tanks, 8 armored combat vehicles, 2 MLRS BM-21 “Grad”, 4 cars, 1 gun. The Armed Forces of Ukraine together with Special Forces of the Ministry of Internal Affairs of Ukraine and National Guard of Ukraine perform tasks of search, disarmament and in case of resistance – elimination of illegally armed groups and diversionary and reconnaissance groups of the enemy in Rodakove. Continue reading

Terrorist War of the Russian Federation against Ukraine, Eastern Front: Summary for August 22, 2014

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Luhansk Region: Fighting Concentrates on the Towns and Supply Routes Around Luhansk

The Northern Combat Zone around the City

To the west of Luhansk illegally armed groups coordinated by the officers of the Russian Federation performed an attempt to attack the Ukrainian forces near Vesela Tarasivka. This is an attempted to unblock the M04 highway between Alchevsk and Luhansk and cut off the Ukrainian forces south of Luhansk. Continue reading